200609-01

In theory, what investors are supposed to do is put this volatility number for the S&P 500 into the option equation along with the strike price and other factors

200609-02

When I first began studying the market I thought that contrary opinion was useful only for finding major market tops and bottoms in movements that last from six months to a year

200609-03

Price Patterns, Fractals, and Mr. Elliott

200609-04

The waves, or cycles, of the Elliott wave pattern are not time cycles, like sound or sine waves; they are action cycles

200609-05

Stock prices follow the fractal definition

200609-06

Elliott wave theorists often say that this is wrong and that the complete pattern is almost always clearly there

200609-07

When you use the Elliott wave theory, you must understand that any pattern projected must remain fluid

200609-08

Volatility is a measure of how much prices move up and down whether they are active or muted

200609-09

Trading Range Investment Strategies

200609-10

The moving average is used as a cutoff to define a trend

200609-11

The 130-Day Moving Average

200609-12

Which Bollinger band method of defining market tops and bottoms did the best

200609-13

I decided to focus on two moving averages from this study, the 72-day moving average and the 132-day moving average

200609-14

Hedge funds are grossly misunderstood. Most people think hedge funds are risky, yet hedge funds often use strategies that are less risky than most mutual funds

200609-15

It would seem that if you were expecting a trading range stock market, a fund of funds could be designed with a diversified set of hedge fund strategies

200609-16

Warren Buffett, the most famous value investor of our time, is what I would call a growth-at-a-reasonable-price investor

200609-17

Portfolios are also comparatively ranked within categories, so that potential investors may know what they are purchasing

200609-18

It formalized the concept of intrinsic value and became the bible for fundamental stock analysis

200609-19

Relative Dividend Yield (RDY) was a simple and useful methodology that allowed a comparison of the yield of any given stock to the yield of the market and to its own historical yield

200609-20

The value of RDY as an investment tool is that it provides a rational, nonemotional basis for making sound investment decisions

200609-21

In looking at the RPSR history of numerous stocks, the relative price-to-sales ratio consistently provided important valuation information at turning points

200609-22

In using RPSR, you initially need to determine the universe of stocks that will potentially be candidates for RPSR analysis

200609-23

While RDY and RPSR are powerful indicators of periods of over- and undervaluation, they comprise only the first step in our valuation process

200609-24

The best test of an investing strategy is how well it does when the market is not doing what it is expected to do

200609-25

The greater the cash flow, the greater the opportunity for management to increase shareholder value by either redeploying the proceeds into strategic growth

200609-26

The return on invested capital (ROIC). Asset Turnover. Equity Leverage

200609-27

Liquidity/Funding Mix Dividend Coverage-Growth Asset Quality

200609-28

RDY is particularly useful in evaluating former growth companies that have moved into a state of maturity

200609-29

Gillette stock eventually became buyable under RDY

200609-30

Estee Lauder (EL) is one of our newer RPSR investments, having been added to our portfolios for the first time

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Previous Issues

200608

The breaking of a trendline is an example of a pivot point

200607

Day trading is very risky business

200606

Investors engage in merger or risk arbitrage

200605

Aren't market neutral strategies best exploited only by investors with special information?

200604

Soros understood that the British prime minister, Margaret Thatcher, wanted each British citizen to own shares in British stocks

200603

Livermore could have a line of a hundred thousand shares out on a single stock play and sleep like a baby

200602

Open symbols represent the value of investing now without the abandonment option